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5 Lessons from Market Wizards

Market Wizards is a classic book by Jack D. Schwager that features interviews with some of the most successful traders of all time. The book reveals the secrets, strategies, and mindsets of these legendary traders, who have achieved extraordinary results in various financial markets. In this article, we will summarize five key lessons that we can learn from Market Wizards and apply to our own trading.

Lesson 1: Focus on risk management

One of the most common themes in Market Wizards is the importance of risk management. Almost every trader interviewed by Schwager emphasizes the need to protect their capital and limit their losses. As Paul Tudor Jones, a famous hedge fund manager, says: 

“Don’t focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have”

To be successful, you have to use various methods to manage their risk, such as setting stop-loss orders, diversifying their portfolio, and sizing their positions according to their confidence level. By focusing on risk management, they are able to survive in the long run and take advantage of profitable opportunities.

Lesson 2: Follow the trend

Another common theme in Market Wizards is the power of following the trend. Many of the traders interviewed by Schwager are trend-followers, who try to identify and ride the dominant direction of the market. As Bruce Kovner, a billionaire trader, says: 

“I always believe that prices move first and fundamentals come second”

The traders in Market Wizards use various tools to identify and follow the trend, such as moving averages, chart patterns, and indicators. By following the trend, they are able to capture large moves and avoid fighting against the market.

Lesson 3: Be flexible and adaptable

A third lesson from Market Wizards is the importance of being flexible and adaptable. The traders interviewed by Schwager demonstrate a high degree of adaptability, as they are able to change their views and strategies according to changing market conditions. As Michael Marcus, a legendary commodities trader, says:

“Every trader has strengths and weaknesses. Some are good holders of winners, but may hold their losers a little too long. Others may cut their winners a little short, but are quick to take their losses. As long as you stick to your own style, you get the good and bad in your own approach” 

Some of the market wizards are not dogmatic or rigid in their trading, but rather open-minded and willing to learn from their mistakes.

Lesson 4: Master your emotions

A fourth lesson from Market Wizards is the significance of mastering your emotions. The traders interviewed by Schwager reveal how emotions such as fear, greed, and ego can affect their trading performance. As Ed Seykota, a pioneer of computerized trading, says: 

“The elements of good trading are: (1) cutting losses, (2) cutting losses, and (3) cutting losses. If you can follow these three rules, you may have a chance”

Great traders use various techniques to master their emotions, such as meditation, journaling, and self-awareness. By mastering their emotions, they are able to trade with discipline and objectivity.

Lesson 5: Find your own edge

A fifth lesson from Market Wizards is the necessity of finding your own edge. The traders interviewed by Schwager have different trading styles and approaches, but they all have something in common: they have found an edge that works for them. As Richard Dennis, a famous trend-follower and founder of the Turtle Trading System, says: 

“I always say that you could publish my trading rules in the newspaper and no one would follow them. The key is consistency and discipline”

Most professionals have often developed their own trading systems and methods that suit their personality, goals, and risk tolerance. By finding their own edge, they are able to trade with confidence and conviction.

Conclusion

Market Wizards is a timeless book that offers invaluable insights into the world of trading. By learning from the experiences and wisdom of these legendary traders, we can improve our own trading skills and performance.

In trading and in life, the best way to learn will always be to study how the best do it.

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An Introduction to Shorting

Shorting, also known as short selling, is a trading strategy that involves selling a borrowed asset in the hope of buying it back later at a lower price. Shorting can be used to profit from falling prices, hedge against downside risks, or speculate on market movements. However, shorting also carries significant risks and challenges that traders should be aware of before entering a short position. In this article, we will explain the basics of shorting, its pros and cons, and some common shorting strategies.

How Does Shorting Work?

Shorting is the opposite of buying or going long on an asset. When you buy an asset, you expect its price to rise and sell it later for a profit. When you short an asset, you expect its price to fall and buy it back later for a profit. To short a stock, you need to borrow shares from a lender, usually a broker-dealer, and pay a fee or interest for the loan. You then sell the borrowed shares at the current market price and receive the proceeds. At some point, you have to buy back the asset and return it to the lender. If the price of the asset has dropped, you can buy it back for less than what you sold it for and keep the difference as your profit. If the price of the asset has risen, you have to buy it back for more than what you sold it for and incur a loss.

What Are the Benefits?

Shorting can offer several benefits to traders and investors, such as:

  • Profit from falling prices: Shorting allows you to make money when the market is bearish or when a specific asset is overvalued or in decline. For example, if you believe that a company’s earnings will disappoint or that its stock is in a bubble, you can short its shares and profit from its downfall.
  • Hedge against downside risks: Shorting can also be used to protect your portfolio from potential losses or reduce your exposure to a certain sector or asset class. For example, if you own a long position in a stock that is correlated with the overall market, you can short an index fund or ETF that tracks the market and offset some of your downside risk.

Shorting also involves significant risks and challenges that traders should be aware of before entering a short position, such as:

  • Unlimited downside: Unlike buying an asset, where your maximum loss is limited to your initial investment, shorting an asset exposes you to unlimited losses if the price of the asset keeps rising. There is no limit to how high an asset’s price can go, so your potential loss is theoretically infinite.
  • Short squeeze: A short squeeze occurs when a large number of short sellers are forced to cover their positions due to rising prices or margin calls. This creates a positive feedback loop that drives the price even higher and squeezes more short sellers out of their positions. A short squeeze can be triggered by positive news, strong earnings, analyst upgrades, or other factors that boost the demand for an asset.
  • Stock loan fees: When you borrow an asset from a lender, you have to pay a fee or interest for the loan. The fee depends on the availability and demand for the asset, as well as the broker’s terms and conditions. The fee can vary over time and eat into your profits or add to your losses.
  • Margin requirements: To open a short position, you need to have a margin account with your broker and meet certain margin requirements. Margin is the amount of money that you have to deposit with your broker as collateral for your short position. The margin requirement depends on the broker’s policies and the volatility of the asset. If your account value falls below the margin requirement, you will receive a margin call from your broker and have to deposit more money or close your position.

Implementing shorting strategies

There are many ways to implement shorting strategies depending on your goals, risk tolerance, and market conditions. Some common shorting strategies are:

  • Selling a bounce in a downtrend: This strategy involves selling an asset after it has bounced from a lower low in a downtrend and waiting for it to resume its downward movement. This strategy requires identifying the trend direction, support and resistance levels, and reversal signals.
  • Entering within a trading range and waiting for a breakdown: This strategy involves selling an asset that is trading within a range-bound market and waiting for it to break below the lower boundary of the range. This strategy requires identifying the range limits, volume patterns, and breakdown signals.
  • Selling into an active decline: This strategy involves selling an asset that is already in a sharp decline and riding the momentum to the downside. This strategy requires identifying the catalysts, trendlines, and exit points.

What to expect from the introduction of shorting to the PSE

Shorting brings two big benefits for the Philippine market. First is that it’s possible for the market to experience an inflow of liquidity. Given that shorting requires a a lot of activity within stocks, it’s possible to see volume increase among shortable stocks.

Second is that traders can now profit from breakdowns. The benefits here are obvious and don’t need to be explained. However, something traders have to realize is that shorting isn’t as easy as it seems. Yes, the PH market may have been slumbering, but there’s a big difference between stocks having no significant movements within a range versus stocks crashing. You also have to consider that risk-reward ratios are different when you’re shorting.

As always, being systematic is the most crucial part towards profiting from the markets. The introduction of shorting is just another tool that we can use to do so!


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Fitting Trading Into a Busy Lifestyle

Trading is an activity that can be rewarding, exciting, and challenging. Trading is also considered to be the hardest game in the world. However, it also requires time, attention, and discipline. For many people, finding the time and energy to trade can be difficult, especially if they have a busy lifestyle. 

How can one fit trading into a busy schedule without sacrificing their quality of life? Here are some tips and strategies that can help.

Choose the right market and time frame

One of the first steps to fit trading into a busy lifestyle is to choose the right market and time frame that suit your availability and preferences. Different markets have different characteristics. Each one has its own unique amount of volatility, liquidity, trading hours, and fees. For example, the forex market is open 24 hours a day, five days a week, and offers low transaction costs and high leverage. However, it also involves high risk and requires constant monitoring of currency movements and news events. On the other hand, the stock market is open only during specific hours, depending on the country and exchange, and offers a wide variety of instruments and sectors to choose from. However, it also involves higher transaction costs and lower leverage.

Similarly, different time frames have different implications for trading. For example, trading on shorter time frames, such as minutes or hours, requires more frequent analysis, entry, and exit decisions, as well as more stress and emotional pressure. On the other hand, trading on longer time frames, such as days or weeks, requires less time and effort, but also less opportunities and slower returns.

Therefore, you should choose the market and time frame that match your goals, risk tolerance, personality, and schedule. For instance, if you have a full-time job that occupies most of your day, you may want to trade on longer time frames in the stock market or the forex market during off-peak hours. If you have more flexible hours or work from home, you may want to trade on shorter time frames in the forex market or the futures market during peak hours.

Plan your trades ahead

Another way to fit trading into a busy lifestyle is to plan your trades ahead of time. This means doing your homework before the market opens or after it closes, depending on your chosen time frame. You should conduct your technical analysis, fundamental analysis, news research, and risk management to identify potential trading opportunities, entry points, exit points, stop-loss levels, and position sizes ahead of time. You should also have a trading plan that outlines your trading strategy, rules, and objective – all of which should be in sync with the time and effort you can realistically give.

Planning your trades ahead can help you focus on just executing the trades onces the opportunity appears. It can also help you stay focused and disciplined on executing your trading plan without being distracted by market noise or external factors.

Use Technology Wisely

Technology can be a great ally or a great enemy for traders who have a busy lifestyle. On one hand, technology can help you access the market anytime and anywhere through various devices and platforms. You can use online brokers, trading software, mobile apps, alerts, signals, indicators, charts, and other tools to facilitate your trading process. You can also use automation tools to execute your trades automatically based on predefined criteria.

If automation isn’t suitable for you, alerts can be the better alternative. Even when you’re in the office or somewhere else, alerts will help you find out if significant moves are happening in the market.

Is it possible to trade successfully while being a busy person?

The answer is most definitely yes! Many well renowned traders have achieved success even as they have other responsibilities to attend to. The Market Wizard Tom Basso perfectly explained it in the Investa Summit 2023 that trading doesn’t need to be all-consuming. According to him, the best strategy will always be the one that you can execute based on your circumstances. Finding that strategy means figuring out what your edge is in the market, and developing a set of rules that will help you turn it into profits.


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Are Stock Screeners Essential for Traders?

Stock screeners are tools that allow traders to filter and sort stocks based on various criteria. Commonly these are factors like price, volume, market cap, earnings, and more. They can help traders find potential trading opportunities, identify trends, and analyze the performance of different stocks.

But, are stock screeners essential for traders? In this article, we will explore some of their benefits and limitations.

Benefits of using stock screeners

Stock screeners can offer A LOT of advantages for traders, such as:

– Saving time and effort: Stock screeners can help traders narrow down their search from thousands of stocks to a few that meet their criteria. This can save a lot of time and effort that would otherwise be spent on manually scanning through stock charts and financial statements.

– Finding hidden gems: Stock screeners can help traders discover stocks that are undervalued, overlooked, or have strong growth potential. These stocks may not be widely covered by the media or analysts, but they may offer attractive returns for traders who are willing to do their own research.

– Testing trading ideas: They can also help traders test their trading hypotheses and strategies by applying different filters and indicators to see how they affect the results. For example, a trader can use a stock screener to see how stocks with high dividend yield and low debt perform compared to stocks with low dividend yield and high debt. By coming up with different lists, it becomes easier to compare the performance of the two sets of stocks.

Limitations of using stock screeners

They are not perfect tools, and they also have some drawbacks that traders should be aware of. Here are some of the challenges that come with using screeners.

– Missing out on opportunities: Stock screeners may not capture all the relevant information or factors that affect prices. For example, a stock screener may not account for news events, analyst ratings, insider transactions, or market sentiment that may influence the demand and supply of a stock. Generally, stock screeners should be a part of the process towards finding opportunities. 

– Getting biased results: A trader may use too many or too few filters that may either exclude or include too many stocks in the results. By trying to perfect the filters too much, the results could already be losing efficacy.

– Following the crowd: Stock screeners may lead to herd behavior among traders who use similar criteria and indicators to select stocks. This may result in increased competition and reduced profitability for those stocks. Therefore, traders should always use their own judgment and creativity and avoid following the crowd blindly.

Should you use them?

Stock screeners are useful tools that can help traders find and analyze stocks based on various criteria. With the vast amount of assets available to be traded, they can be deemed essential for traders of any level. 

Just remember that screeners will always come with limitations. It’s important to remember that it will only remain as a tool – how effective it is towards finding solid trades will still depend on the skill of the trader.


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Why are Index Rebalancings Done?

An index is a collection of securities that represent a certain market, sector, or asset class. For example, the $PSEi consists of the top 30 companies in the Philippines. On top of this, it aims to reflect the state of the economy. However, since a lot of things can happen over a span of time, index rebalancing are done in order to better reflect economic progress.

What is an Index Rebalancing?

First of all, an index is made when stocks are bundled together. These stocks are called the constituents of the index, and the index aims to track the price changes of the entire group.

Index rebalancing refers to adjusting the weights or composition of the securities in the index on a regularly scheduled basis. The frequency and method of doing so depends on the type of the index. For the Philippine index, the goal is to track the biggest 30 companies with adequate representation from each industry. The index also takes into account the free-float of the stock. The $PSEi usually rebalances stocks. An index rebalancing of the $PSEi is done as the free-float adjusted market capitalization of stocks change. 

Why is an Index Rebalancing Important?

Index rebalancing is important for several reasons:

  • It ensures that the index reflects its intended market segment or investment theme accurately and consistently over time.
  • It prevents the index from becoming too concentrated or skewed towards certain stocks, sectors, or regions that may have performed well or poorly in a given period.
  • It reduces the tracking error and improves the performance of index funds or exchange-traded funds.
  • It provides opportunities for investors to buy low and sell high by rebalancing their portfolios in line with the index changes.

What are the Challenges of Index Rebalancing?

Index rebalancing also involves some challenges and costs, such as:

  • Transaction costs: Rebalancing requires buying and selling securities for funds, which incur commissions, bid-ask spreads, and market impact costs. These costs can reduce the net returns of the index and its followers.
  • Market timing: Rebalancing can cause price distortions or volatility around the rebalancing dates due to increased trading activity.
  • Information leakage: Rebalancing may reveal information about the index composition or methodology to other market participants, who may exploit it for arbitrage or front-running purposes.

How does this affect your portfolio?

If you are an investor in the Philippine stock market, the biggest thing you have to take into account is that price action will often be affected by impending rebalancings. Before the announcement, stocks that are about to be dropped tend to sell off even before the news comes out. Likewise, stocks that are about to be included can experience increased buying. The adage “buy the rumor, sell the news” often comes true with rebalancings locally. As such, make sure to pay close attention to how prices move as an index rebalancing nears,

Your trading or investing activities shouldn’t revolve entirely around them, but paying attention to them could help you save money from some losses, or even take advantage of bullish price action!


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Featured Trader of the Week: @smljoju

Congratulations to @smljoju for being the featured trader of the week! 

Sun Tzu once said that “Every battle is won or lost before it’s ever fought.” In the case of @smljoju, he believes that his trading plans curated with the help of Technical Analysis will help him win his battles. 

@smljoju has been sharing his thoughts consistently in the Investa community. @smljoju has been a member of the Investagrams community since Dec 2019 and has been very active recently. 

A couple of weeks ago, our featured trader posted his sequential technical analysis on $NIKL, a hot stock in the local market. $NIKL is recently retesting at 6-ish area and were bound for a break of trendline or a plunge from the resistance area.

As the stock recently reached bottomed at 4.88-ish (52-wk low). @smljoju charted its support, volume,  resistance, trendline, and RSI on the chart, bound for a breakout or retest in its trendline as he believes in its technical analysis. @smljoju felt an opportunity to have a good entry near the 52-wk low at 4.88ish area.

TECHNICALS OF THE TRADE

Technically, $NIKL bottomed at 4.88ish area in which it is the 52-wk low of $NIKL. Thus, the stock recently reached 6.01ish area and retesting at 6 area onwards. After breaking the resistance at the 5.65ish, NIKL volume surges along with its RSI. On the other hand, NIKL could retest in the next few weeks as the trendline will serve as resistance in the next few weeks. NIKL is showing strength in terms of volume as it continues to retest after trying to break out the trendline area. It came from a 52-wk low of 4.88ish before retesting and breaking the 5.65ish  resistance. There could be a retest in the next few weeks in NIKL whether a breakout or breakdown or consolidation. Technically speaking, the next resistance of NIKL is the 6.15 onwards to break the trendline. Furthermore, NIKL will retest whether it will surge more or be back at the bearish side or will consolidate in the next few weeks.

@smljoju was confident that this stock would retest its support and resistance. He also charted that RRHI will go up as he indicated in his TA the supports, resistances,trendline, Volume, and the RSI. He charted a good entry near the support and possible resistance. He is also observing the movement of NIKL. Further to that, he is planning his trades carefully. 

FUNDAMENTAL CATALYST

Nickel Asia is a mining company that focuses on the mining of nickel – owning and operating a total of 4 mines. As such, the stock is heavily affected by how nickel moves in the global market. After precious metals, including nickel, rallied in the commodities market, NIKL followed suit and broke out of its 20-day moving average. Furthermore, NIKL is considered to be part of the company that were bound for growth and revival of the economy. As this stock is focused on nickel mining (importing and exporting). It’s Earnings per shares (EPS) is around 0.53 as of 1Q 2022.

WHAT SHOULD BE MY NEXT MOVE

As the stock is consolidating and bound for a retest in the next few weeks, it would be wiser to observe and wait for what $NIKL might do next before jumping in. This stock is wise for growth pick  since the mining industry could be a backbone to revive the economy as per the government of the Philippines. The demand from consumers globally is continually growing. However, it’s best to wait for a consolidation, pullback, or a good entry near its support for a better risk-to-reward ratio. It would also be advisable to trade lightly and in tranches given that we’re not yet out of the woods.

Once again, KUDOS to @smljoju for being this week’s featured trader! Enjoy your 14-day InvestaPrime Access and continue to be an inspiration to the trading community.


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How to find the market that fits you

Did you know that there are a ton of markets you can engage in? With the multitude of options available, which one’s the best for you?

The entire global economy is full of opportunities, failures, growth, and success. What matters the most is finding the market that fits your needs. There are a lot of platforms that offer products and services that meet your specific need; you just need to go through them to find the market that fits you best. You can even go to our platform should you want to learn more on how to trade and invest. There are multiple tools, ranging from charts to watchers that help you navigate the markets no matter what your current knowledge is.

            There are various choices and these include the following:

1.       Stock Market – The stock market broadly refers to several exchanges and other venues in which shares of publicly held companies are bought and sold. (Investopedia, 2022)

2.       ETFs – An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a type of pooled investment security that operates much like a mutual fund. (Investopedia, 2022)

3.       Forex Market – The forex market allows participants, such as banks and individuals, to buy, sell or exchange currencies for both hedging and speculative purposes. (Investopedia, 2022).

4. Commodities – A commodity is a basic good used in commerce that is interchangeable with other goods of the same type. Traditional examples of commodities include grains, gold, beef, oil, and natural gas. For investors, commodities can be an important way to diversify their portfolios beyond traditional securities. (Investopedia, 2022)

Since technology is inevitable, platforms globally are offering accessible products and services to trade/invest with your preferred market. All you need are the following: information about yourselves, funds, and an internet connection. Furthermore, these markets offer advantages and disadvantages.

Which market is suitable for you?

If you’re a day trader, the forex market could fit you best. The investment amount required is minimal (On an average of 100$). In addition, this allows individuals to trade or invest in global currencies, indices, and commodities. Furthermore, the forex market is simply the exchange of currencies (e.g USD to PHP, USD to Yen, USD to Euro, etc.)

According to Investopedia, generally there is no commissions in the Forex market, but a spread is being paid and serves as charges. “Spread, forex spread is the difference between a forex broker’s sell rate and buy rate when exchanging or trading currencies.” Furthermore, forex is a high leverage trading wherein it involves high risk and reward.

ETFs

If you’re onto ETFs, this could be the market you can engage in. Another thing to consider as day traders is ETFs or Exchange-traded funds. They will allow the trader to engage in currency moves by making trades on the stock exchange. In an ETF, there are advantages and disadvantages. One advantage ETF can produce is that it can be leveraged or underleveraged depending on the risk appetite of a trader or investor.

ETFs are also available in markets of oil, gold, silver, or stock indexes. Furthermore, this could be the best market for you if you’re into stocks. The day trade can also engage in the global and local stock market. Wherein you can long/short the stock pick you have. In the market as a whole, there are multiple alternatives you can engage. On the other hand, locally in the Philippines, the only available instrument for stock trading is longing.

Cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrencies are popular nowadays because of person-to-person transactions. A lot of people transact using cryptocurrencies to date.  When trading cryptos, you can easily access it on any exchange platforms wherein the platform offers multiple products and services like forex, CFD, crypto, etc.

Commodities

Commodities such as gold, silver, or platinum are alternative investments you can make. Most investors globally are engaged in these commodities when there is a piece of bad-driven news in the market where investors and locals are switching their portfolios to more diverse commodity picks.

Stock Market

Of course, we also have to consider the stock market. If you’re into the safer side of trading, blue chip stocks are the best stocks you can choose to invest in. Blue Chips is a term that comprises the top companies representing one’s indexes. In the Philippines, the PSEi is known as the “Philippine Stock Exchange Index” and represents the top 30 companies that majored in the market.

Importance of selecting a market

The best market for you will depend on your needs. Thus, this will depend on the risk appetite you have. If you’re a risk-taker, go with high leverage markets such as Forex, ETF, and Volatile stocks. On the other hand, if you’re on the safe side of trading or investing, you can go with growth stocks and non-volatile stocks or market options. Again, this will depend primarily on what type of trader or investor you are.

With that, it is essential to know that there are different alternatives and options in the market. The markets has a lot to offer. What matters the most is how you do your trades or investments. Before you engage in trades or investments you must be knowledgeable about the products and services that the market has to offer.


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